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Clouded Judgement 12.21.23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. The median projected growth rate today is 14% The piece left out of the analysis is interest rates, which are obviously higher today than the period of 2010 to 2020. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment

Cloud 184
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5 Interesting Learnings from ServiceNow at $7 Billion in ARR

SaaStr

It’s 2010 customers have grown their ACV … a stunning 24x over the following 12+ years. Microsoft also reported strong growth overall and for Azure and Cloud especially. Others are seeing this as well, although some, like MongoDB, aren’t. But many in SaaS are seeing tougher times in Europe than North America.

Azure 326
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SaaS Multiples Are At a 3+ Year Low. Where It Goes From Here.

SaaStr

Many SaaS and Cloud leaders are down more than 50% from their all-time highs. But Covid did create a lot of artificial demand for Cloud products, especially the lockdown phase. Update on cloud software multiples, charted alongside the 10Y and 5 year pre-covid NTM rev multiple average. So the public markets are in tumult.

SaaS 348
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Clouded Judgement 10.20.23 - Hyperscaler Q3 Preview

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. For context on a 10Y at 5% - from 2010 to 2020 the 10Y averaged roughly ~2.5%. Said another way, the 10Y today is double what it averaged from 2010 to 2020. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment

Cloud 167
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Clouded Judgement 9.27.24 - The Foundation of Foundation Models

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Foundation Models Are to AI what S3 was to the Public Cloud Many people look at 2006 as the birth of the public cloud - the year Amazon launched AWS. Follow along to stay up to date! However, a couple things happened.

Cloud 176
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Clouded Judgement 9.29.23 - Rates Keep Going Up

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. As a reminder - the average software multiple from 2010-2020 was ~7.8x, and the average 10Y over that same period was ~2.3%. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment Follow along to stay up to date! Yesterday the 10Y hit 4.7%

Cloud 190
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5 Interesting Learnings from Sprout Social at $180,000,000 in ARR

SaaStr

SproutSocial was founded in 2010. We are seeing this with more and more Cloud leaders. It’s not your valuation today that matters. It’s where you can grow into, in SaaS. Also a reminder that power laws are everywhere in SaaS. Nine years layer, it was worth $815m — impressive. Keep going in SaaS. Value compounds.