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The Top 10 SaaStr Posts of 2020

SaaStr

Ok the Best But Craziest Year Ever for SaaS isn’t quite over, but as it drives to a conclusion, we thought it would be worth looking back at top posts you may have missed in 2020. Let’s take a look at the Top 10 of 2020: 1. Slack was acquired for $28b. . “Atlassian and AWS Say: Maybe Worry a Little Bit.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

It’s worth pointing out that Azure is a bit above the long term trendline, while AWS is still below (but accelerating up). The graph below shows the median net retention going back to 2020. To calculate implied ARR I take the subscription revenue in a quarter and multiply it by 4.

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Clouded Judgement 10.11.24 - Budget Flush

Clouded Judgement

We all know 2020 and 2021 was the year of excessive software buying fueled by ZIRP. The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are always some of the first companies to report earnings during earnings season (coming up in 2 weeks), and there’s always a read through for consumption names (meaning people believe there’s a correlation).

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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). The most notable change in tone was Andy Jassy talking about AWS. This is lower than Q1 2020 (right at the onset of Covid) when everyone seemed to guide lower given the unknowns of Covid. ” Full quote below: “We're seeing a few trends right now. .”

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Snowflake, CrowdStike and SumoLogic: “How to Leverage the Cloud Giants to Scale to 100 Million ARR and Beyond”

SaaStr

What you’ll see in that cloud spend box is actually Gartner’s 2020 estimate for infrastructure as a service spending for companies, which was $50 billion. And IDG just recently released the 2020 Cloud Computing Survey that showed over one third of IT budgets are spent on cloud computing technologies.

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Clouded Judgement 10.20.23 - Hyperscaler Q3 Preview

Clouded Judgement

For context on a 10Y at 5% - from 2010 to 2020 the 10Y averaged roughly ~2.5%. Said another way, the 10Y today is double what it averaged from 2010 to 2020. Hyperscaler Preview Next week Amazon, Microsoft and Google report earnings and we’ll see Q3 data for AWS, Azure and Google Cloud.

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. If you look at the historical data you’ll see there’s a very clear trendline through the end of 2020. This is the data point shown for Q4 ‘23.

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