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Pilot: 57% of Venture Startups Will Need to Raise More In 2024

SaaStr

And realistically, most won’t have the metrics to pull off another round. At a practical level though, the headlines in 2024 may actually look much worse than 2023 for startup failures. So many were able to cut the burn and stretch their cash through 2023. And 38% have 12 or less months of runway left.

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Clouded Judgement 10.11.24 - Budget Flush

Clouded Judgement

However, if we rewind the clock to a year ago, the budget flush at the end of 2023 felt stronger than most years. Selling software remained challenging in 2023 - despite budgets starting to grow again. As a result, software vendors often see an uptick in revenue and bookings during these periods. The macro has only gotten stronger.

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A Flare Across the Clouds : Cloudflare's Earnings Report

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early trends in the software market to inform startups’ plans for 2023. Turning to our customer metrics in the fourth quarter. Yesterday, Cloudflare announced earnings. I’m adding Cloudflare to the list of tracked companies for this series. Channel sales have become stronger.

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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. Staggering scale already.

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Clouded Judgement 1.27.23

Clouded Judgement

Azure (Microsoft) Quarter The week the first of the cloud giants reported - Azure. Early Look at 2023 Guides Given the Azure weakness reported on Tuesday, all software tumbled Wednesday morning with most names down 5-10%. A big reason for that was the guides for the full year 2023 we saw.

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Clouded Judgement 1.6.23

Clouded Judgement

Cloud Downgrades This week UBS came out with a couple research reports citing concerns in AWS / Azure growth. As I’ve talked about before, the big risk for 2023 are fundamentals - are forward estimates too high? This brings me back to AWS / Azure downgrades. Follow along to stay up to date!

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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

After a strong finish in Q4, we saw a return to weaker demand conditions in the first quarter, similar to what we experienced in 2023. Given most software companies are not profitable, or not generating meaningful FCF, it’s the only metric to compare the entire industry against. Even a DCF is riddled with long term assumptions.

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