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Clouded Judgement 12.1.23 - Net New ARR Starts to Rebound + AWS ReInvent Recap

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Amazon ReInvent This week Amazon had their annual AWS ReInvent conference. ” AWS fully embracing the breadth over depth approach. We’re still in the early days of the cloud.”

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Clouded Judgement - 3.28.25 - The New AI Risk Curve

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Let’s rewind the clock back to the pre-cloud days. Fast forward to the launch of AWS and the public cloud. There was an exponential drop off in costs / complexity to start a company going from on prem to cloud.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q1 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. net retention and CAC payback). These charts clearly show the ZIRP pull forward, the ensuing cloud cost optimizations, and then the recovery. It’s worth pointing out that Azure is a bit above the long term trendline, while AWS is still below (but accelerating up).

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Clouded Judgement 10.11.24 - Budget Flush

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are always some of the first companies to report earnings during earnings season (coming up in 2 weeks), and there’s always a read through for consumption names (meaning people believe there’s a correlation).

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Clouded Judgement 2.7.25 - "Group + Triage" AI Systems

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Cloud Giants Report Q4 ‘24 We now have the quarterly reports from Amazon, Microsoft and Google. They each have some of the largest cloud businesses in the world in AWS, Azure and Google Cloud respectively.

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Who’s Accelerating in SaaS? DataDog. HubSpot. Zendesk. Everyone.

SaaStr

We all know times are good in SaaS and Cloud — but just how good? Is it all the big public cloud vendors and a handful of outliers? AWS accelerated to 37% YoY growth , up from 32% last quarter. Really impressive, accelerating, Datadog quarter. HubSpot accelerated to 53% YoY growth , up from 44% a year ago.

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Is it Really ARR? In 2021+, Yes. As Long As NRR is > 100%

SaaStr

But like “Cloud” and “SaaS”, its definitely has evolved. ARR now really means revenue with 100%+ Net Revenue Retention. First, Snowflake rolls its large customers into fixed comittments (as does AWS and many others), and bills them in advance. Doesn’t ARR stand for Annual Recurring Revenue?