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Clouded Judgement 12.1.23 - Net New ARR Starts to Rebound + AWS ReInvent Recap

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Amazon ReInvent This week Amazon had their annual AWS ReInvent conference. ” AWS fully embracing the breadth over depth approach. Is this a sign that software headwinds have bottomed?

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Clouded Judgement - 3.28.25 - The New AI Risk Curve

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Let’s rewind the clock back to the pre-cloud days. Starting and scaling a software company was really hard. If you, as a software company, got to a certain scale and brand awareness, it was really hard for others to catch you.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q1 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. Q1 was a very weak quarter of software earnings. These charts clearly show the ZIRP pull forward, the ensuing cloud cost optimizations, and then the recovery. As you can see from the data below most cloud businesses beat the consensus estimates for Q1.

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Search at Intercom: Building our Elasticsearch cloud on AWS

Intercom, Inc.

A large part of making this belief a reality is the idea of running less software. For this reason, we chose to run exclusively on AWS and wherever possible, we make use of battle-tested AWS services, be it RDS Aurora for our relational databases, the Simple Queue Service (SQS) for our async workers or ElastiCache for our caching layer.

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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. Amazon: We expect [customer] optimization efforts will continue to be a headwind to AWS growth in at least the next couple of quarters. So Amazon: Net sales increased $21.4

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Cloud Stocks May Be Down. But the Cloud Remains on Fire. That Matters More.

SaaStr

But at end of the day, in Cloud, the question is if CIO and related spend will slow down. So follow AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. So there’s much angst and even panic with so many SaaS and Cloud public stocks down 50% or more from their peaks. They are the Cloud. The post Cloud Stocks May Be Down.

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Clouded Judgement 10.11.24 - Budget Flush

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. For software companies, this phenomenon can be a tailwind, as it drives accelerated deal closures and increased sales velocity, sometimes with less price sensitivity from buyers looking to quickly deplete their budgets. Cloudflare is up 17%.

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