Clouded Judgement

APRIL 26, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Azure Report - Cloud Infra Looks Good! For software, all eyes were on Azure - which grew 31% YoY (ahead of expectations closer to 29%). So the overall Azure quarterly revenue figure is already not entirely spot on.

Azure 184

Azure Cloud Software AI 184

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 7, 2025

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Cloud Giants Report Q4 ‘24 We now have the quarterly reports from Amazon, Microsoft and Google. They each have some of the largest cloud businesses in the world in AWS, Azure and Google Cloud respectively.

Systems Review 144

Systems Review Cloud AI Artificial Intelligence 144

Clouded Judgement

JUNE 19, 2024

Q1 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. The charts below show the change in quarterly revenue YoY (so Q1 ‘24 rev - Q1 ‘23 rev) going back to 2017. These charts clearly show the ZIRP pull forward, the ensuing cloud cost optimizations, and then the recovery.

Cloud 318

Cloud GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Software Azure 318

SaaStr

JULY 27, 2022

But fast forward to today, and Microsoft truly is a Cloud and SaaS company, with Azure and LinkedIn its fastest growing business units! Azure and other cloud services grew a record 40% and the total Microsoft Cloud grew to a $90 Billion run-rate. MSFT Q4 2022 – Revenue up 12% to $51.9 And does. #5.

Azure 312

Azure Cloud B2B Scaling 312

Tom Tunguz

JULY 26, 2022

Microsoft Azure. Google Cloud Platform. Microsoft Azure grew 40% y/y, tying the fastest quarterly growth rate in the past 5 quarters. That suggests the cloud market is quite strong. Google’s growth rate fell to 35%, a 29% decline from the trailing 4 quarter average of 49% annual revenue growth.

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 223

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Cloud Azure AWS 223

Tom Tunguz

OCTOBER 27, 2022

Microsoft Azure. Google Cloud Platform. Infrastructure revenue growth averaged 33% this quarter, which is astounding considering we’re talking about businesses that sum to more than $50b of revenue per quarter. At a 7x multiple of revenue, that is another $84b of market cap creation, in theory.

Cloud 228

Cloud GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Azure AWS 228

SaaStr

DECEMBER 28, 2023

And broader Cloud players had great years too, from MongoDB to Cloudflare to Azure, if not quite as crazy as at the peak of 2021. And Gartner still predicts overall Cloud spend will grow to record rates in 2024. But at some point, perhaps, Cloud spend will be so saturated, it just has to slow.

Azure 350

Azure Cloud SaaS Trends 350

Tom Tunguz

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

Large customer revenue contribution increased again sequentially to 63% of revenue, up from 57% in the fourth quarter last year. For fiscal 2022, large customers represented 61% of total revenue compared to 54% of total revenue in 2021 and 46% in 2020… Overall NDR fell, but enterprise spending remains steady.

Cloud 243

Cloud Azure Headcount Software Review 243

Tom Tunguz

APRIL 25, 2023

Google Cloud Platform (GCP) & Microsoft Azure had strong quarters with about 28% annual revenue growth each. The total customer count for Azure’s OpenAI has grown dramatically. In Azure, we expect revenue growth to be 26% to 27% in constant currency, including roughly 1 point from AI services.

AI Search 266

AI Search AI Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 266

SaaStr

OCTOBER 2, 2024

So the growth rates of Cloud infrastructure leaders have been all over the place. Billion in ARR GitLab is growing 30% at $730m ARR Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud are on fire, fueled by AI But others are seeing more headwinds due to downturns in the “B2B2B” segment of tech. Cloudflare is growing 30% at $1.6

Azure 281

Azure Technical Review Scale AI 281

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 27, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. You can see some quotes from Azure / AWS in my Q2 recap , and pasted below. After the cloud giants reported this week, the timing of the presumed re-acceleration is very much in question. On Tuesday, Azure and Google spooked the market.

Cost optimization & reporting 157

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Azure AWS 157

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 2, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q4 ‘23 Two quotes from the Amazon and Microsoft earnings call really stood out to me this week. Sometimes they’re classic cloud migrations. Follow along to stay up to date!

Cost optimization & reporting 167

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Azure AWS 167

SaaStr

MARCH 9, 2022

So DigitalOcean is the quiet Cloud platform that keeps on growing. Focusing on smaller developers, in some ways it’s been a bit overshadowed by AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud. DigitialOcean doesn’t want to take AWS, Azure and Google on in the enterprise and doesn’t really try. That’s impressive.

Azure 277

Azure AWS SMB Cloud 277

SaaStr

MARCH 31, 2022

Jessica Alexander, Senior Director Cloud Technology & OEM Partnerships, Crowdstrike. So for the audience, cloud giants are turbocharging startup sales, and the predominant reason for this is because they’re fundamentally changing IT budgets at the customers that we’re all selling to. Rico Mallozzi, Sr.

Scale 262

Scale Marketplace as a Service Cloud SaaS Payments 262

Tom Tunguz

JANUARY 23, 2023

We saw moderated consumption growth in Azure and lower-than-expected growth [elsewhere]. Segment Expected Growth Productivity 12% Office Commercial 6% Office On-Premise -25% LinkedIn 5% Dynamics 13% Intelligent Cloud 18% Azure 26% Server -3% Services -3% 2. At some point, the optimizations will end.

Azure 256

Azure Underperforming Technical Team Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning 256

SaaStr

MAY 6, 2022

Many SaaS and Cloud leaders are down more than 50% from their all-time highs. But Covid did create a lot of artificial demand for Cloud products, especially the lockdown phase. Ultimately — revenue multiples. Update on cloud software multiples, charted alongside the 10Y and 5 year pre-covid NTM rev multiple average.

SaaS 348

SaaS Azure Cloud AWS 348

Clouded Judgement

MAY 3, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Results Q1 earnings seasons has officially kicked off! We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

Cost optimization & reporting 190

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Software Azure 190

SaaStr

JANUARY 25, 2023

. “[We’re] not fighting those headwinds”: Given that customers sign 3+ year, $1m+ contracts, one wouldn’t expect any massive decline in revenue from any shorter-term macro effects anyway. 20,000 employees, so about $350,000 revenue per employee. But new bookings aren’t really down, either. to $4m ACV. #4.

Azure 326

Azure Cloud Enterprise Subscription 326

SaaStr

NOVEMBER 18, 2021

An amazing exit at the time, but one that happened as Siebel was clearly losing to the Cloud transition that Salesforce came to own. Many Cloud leaders took an initial hit from Covid, but C3 had a tough 2020 overall. Only 12% service revenue, despite being so enterprise. 5 Interesting Learnings: #1. Never quit! #5.

AI 59

AI Azure Cloud Enterprise 59

Tom Tunguz

SEPTEMBER 26, 2022

Look no further than the massive companies pushing the public & the private market forward: Snowflake, Databricks, Amazon, Azure, Google Cloud. Cloud databases generated $39b in spend , about half of all database revenue. On October 25th, I’ll share my 10 predictions for data in 2023 at The Impact Data Summit.

Data 281

Data Azure Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning 281

SaaStr

JULY 31, 2024

But it’s become so central to Cloud the past years, and both LinkedIn and GitHub (which Microsoft acquired) are at the pulse and heart of B2B and B2D, respectively. Just about everything in Cloud, SaaS and AI is firing on all cylinders at Microsoft: Azure and Cloud up +30% (!) Overall Cloud up +22% (!)

Azure 233

Azure Cloud AI B2B 233

Tom Tunguz

JULY 25, 2023

At last, we see a change in slope in the annual growth rates of the cloud services. Both Google & Microsoft announced growth rates in GCP & Azure that held steady from one quarter to the next. of revenue to the Office suite & more than $100b in market cap, assuming constant multiples. The desire for AI is broad.

Azure 238

Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AI Cloud 238

Clouded Judgement

MARCH 22, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) vs ERR (Experimental Runrate Revenue) ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) is one of the most popular SaaS (Non-GAAP) metrics. Follow along to stay up to date! This analysis does two things.

AI 190

AI Cloud Revenue Technical Advisors 190

SaaStr

DECEMBER 27, 2023

So is it possible to be too efficient in SaaS and Cloud? Many have used Digital Ocean at the cheaper, simpler version of AWS-Azure-Digital Ocean to get going fast and quickly. But it’s raining cash, and earnings per share is growing 22% — faster than revenue. And if so, maybe that’s Digital Ocean. Or at least.

Scale 297

Scale AWS Azure Cloud 297

Clouded Judgement

SEPTEMBER 27, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Foundation Models Are to AI what S3 was to the Public Cloud Many people look at 2006 as the birth of the public cloud - the year Amazon launched AWS. Follow along to stay up to date! However, a couple things happened.

Cloud 176

Cloud GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AWS Azure 176

Clouded Judgement

AUGUST 2, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Cloud Giants Report Q2 We also got the Q2 quarters from AWS / Azure / GCP this week! Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework. Follow along to stay up to date! Back then the median software NTM rev multiple was ~6x.

Cloud 157

Cloud Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AWS 157

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 20, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Hyperscaler Preview Next week Amazon, Microsoft and Google report earnings and we’ll see Q3 data for AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework. Follow along to stay up to date!

Cloud 167

Cloud Azure AWS Software Review 167

SaaStr

AUGUST 27, 2019

Around 2013 or so, the Cloud started to grow far faster than any of us had thought it would: Amazon Web Services revenue 2018 | Statista. It turned our CIOs and bigger companies were ready to transfer as much as another 20% of their $1 trillion+ IT budgets to Cloud far faster than any of us knew. It’s still accelerating.

Cloud 159

Cloud Azure AWS Enterprise 159

Tom Tunguz

MAY 31, 2022

Amazon Web Services and Azure, the business units inside Amazon and Microsoft serve and sell to small, medium, and large companies in every major geography. Microsoft Azure. Google Cloud Platform. Here are the revenue growth rates for these businesses broken out by software and infrastructure. Fortunately, it exists.

Azure 240

Azure Software Startup Cloud 240

SaaStr

NOVEMBER 3, 2022

Our mission is to build powerful and secure cloud software for subscription businesses of all sizes, with a strong emphasis on good design and ease of use. Which means better customer relationships, more data, and new sources of revenue. Embedded finance has everything to do with the flow of money.

Payments 264

Payments Payment Services GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Payment Solutions 264

Clouded Judgement

MAY 31, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. ” As growth starts to slow, it gets harder and harder to justify using revenue multiples as a primary valuation metric. This leads to an investment cycle where costs hit before revenue shows up, leading to margin degradation.

Cloud 184

Cloud Software GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AI 184

Clouded Judgement

APRIL 11, 2024

Q4 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. Beating consensus revenue estimates is the first aspect of a successful quarter.

Cloud 184

Cloud Software Azure AWS 184

Clouded Judgement

JANUARY 27, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Azure (Microsoft) Quarter The week the first of the cloud giants reported - Azure. Early Look at 2023 Guides Given the Azure weakness reported on Tuesday, all software tumbled Wednesday morning with most names down 5-10%.

Cloud 144

Cloud Azure Pricing Payment Features 144

SaaStr

JULY 19, 2022

Drift® , the Conversation Cloud company, helps businesses connect with people at the right time, in the right place with the right conversation. Using the Drift Conversation Cloud, businesses can personalize experiences that lead to more quality pipeline, revenue and lifelong customers.

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 264

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Artificial Intelligence Enterprise readiness Azure 264

Tom Tunguz

APRIL 25, 2024

If it wasn’t clear before, AI is the single biggest revenue driver in cloud. Microsoft’s Azure is winning share directly from Amazon. “The number of $100 million-plus Azure deals increased over 80% year-over-year, while the number of $10 million-plus deals more than doubled. of revenue in a year.

Azure 213

Azure AI Search Marketing ChatGPT 213

Clouded Judgement

JANUARY 6, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Cloud Downgrades This week UBS came out with a couple research reports citing concerns in AWS / Azure growth. This brings me back to AWS / Azure downgrades. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Underperforming Technical Team 130

Clouded Judgement

MAY 10, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. And no one raised full year guide >2% The median “beat” (Q1 revenue over Q1 consensus estimates) was 1.5%, which is the lowest it’s been in the last 4 years Overall, it’s been a TOUGH quarter for software companies.

Cloud 167

Cloud Software GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Azure 167