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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

It’s worth pointing out that Azure is a bit above the long term trendline, while AWS is still below (but accelerating up). It’s worth pointing out that Azure is a bit above the long term trendline, while AWS is still below (but accelerating up). Because of this we have to use an implied ARR metric.

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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. Staggering scale already.

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Snowflake, CrowdStike and SumoLogic: “How to Leverage the Cloud Giants to Scale to 100 Million ARR and Beyond”

SaaStr

Azure’s marketplace has over 4 million monthly visitors. million subscriptions transacted and Google’s marketplace has seen 3X growth in SaaS sales. So the ability to do flexible payment plans, financing, retire that pre-committed spend has been a really significant a way for us to accelerate and amplify our transactions.

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Clouded Judgement 10.20.23 - Hyperscaler Q3 Preview

Clouded Judgement

Hyperscaler Preview Next week Amazon, Microsoft and Google report earnings and we’ll see Q3 data for AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. And while we’re definitely in the early stages on an important technology transformation and supercycle, headwinds around cloud optimizations might not have abated as much as anticipated by now.

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. If we break this down and look at Azure and AWS independently (graphs below), you’ll see how the AWS “swings” were a lot more volatile.

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Clouded Judgement 1.6.23

Clouded Judgement

Cloud Downgrades This week UBS came out with a couple research reports citing concerns in AWS / Azure growth. This brings me back to AWS / Azure downgrades. This was the worst tone that we’ve heard in years from large AWS/Azure partners, a group that usually expresses different shades of optimism about AWS/Azure growth.”

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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

” For now, some the credit card companies are describing the spending environment as holding up / strong, so there’s definitely some mixed signals. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 167