Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 11, 2024

The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are always some of the first companies to report earnings during earnings season (coming up in 2 weeks), and there’s always a read through for consumption names (meaning people believe there’s a correlation). Cloudflare is up 17%. Datadog is up 14%. Mongo is up 16%. Snowflake is up 14%.

Cloud 167

Cloud Cost optimization & reporting GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Software Review 167

SaaStr

JULY 27, 2019

2: LinkedIn is Migrating to Microsoft Azure. 3: Microsoft Invests $1 BIllion in OpenAI to Develop AI Technologies on Azure. 6: “Tinder In-App Purchases No Longer Use Google Play Billing” Mobile subscriptions are becoming a big deal, although it’s early overall. And ask them if it could happen to you.

Cloud 36

Cloud Azure Venture Capital Mobile 36

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 27, 2023

Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. Staggering scale already.

Cost optimization & reporting 157

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Azure AWS 157

Clouded Judgement

MAY 3, 2024

We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

Cost optimization & reporting 190

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Software Azure 190

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 2, 2024

” Microsoft on Azure : “And I think last quarter, we said one, we are going to continue to have these cycles where people will build new workloads. Azure (excluding Azure AI) continued to decelerate, and while AWS did come in ahead of expectations, it wasn’t a blow out.

Cost optimization & reporting 167

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Azure AWS 167

Clouded Judgement

APRIL 11, 2024

It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. If we break this down and look at Azure and AWS independently (graphs below), you’ll see how the AWS “swings” were a lot more volatile.

Cloud 184

Cloud Software Azure AWS 184

SaaStr

MARCH 31, 2022

Azure’s marketplace has over 4 million monthly visitors. million subscriptions transacted and Google’s marketplace has seen 3X growth in SaaS sales. And a lot of this depends on your go to market, but we are selling jointly with the AWS and the Azure, et cetera sellers too. AWS’s marketplace has seen 1.5

Scale 259

Scale Marketplace as a Service Cloud SaaS Payments 259

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 20, 2023

Hyperscaler Preview Next week Amazon, Microsoft and Google report earnings and we’ll see Q3 data for AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 167

Cloud Azure AWS Software Review 167

Clouded Judgement

JANUARY 6, 2023

Cloud Downgrades This week UBS came out with a couple research reports citing concerns in AWS / Azure growth. This brings me back to AWS / Azure downgrades. This was the worst tone that we’ve heard in years from large AWS/Azure partners, a group that usually expresses different shades of optimism about AWS/Azure growth.”

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Underperforming Technical Team 130

Clouded Judgement

APRIL 28, 2023

AWS (Amazon), Azure (Microsoft), and Google Cloud (Google) all reported this week. Azure reported on Tuesday and gave us that glimmer of hope. Azure : Coming into the quarter, a growth rate that would have satisfied the market would have been ~29%. Azure came in at 31% (constant currency). Follow along to stay up to date!

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS AI Search 130

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 28, 2022

Hyperscalers Report Quarterly Earnings This week we saw AWS (Amazon), GCP (Google) and Azure (Microsoft) report earnings. At the same time, Azure came in below expectations. Azure called out an incremental $800m of costs expected throughout the year (they just finished their Fiscal Q1).

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Cost optimization & reporting 130

Clouded Judgement

JANUARY 27, 2023

Azure (Microsoft) Quarter The week the first of the cloud giants reported - Azure. Early Look at 2023 Guides Given the Azure weakness reported on Tuesday, all software tumbled Wednesday morning with most names down 5-10%. Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

Cloud 144

Cloud Azure Pricing Subscription 144

Baremetrics

JULY 8, 2021

MetricFire offers five subscription tiers according to the needs of different organization types. Stripe is the leading payment processing service for SaaS and subscription businesses. MetricFire is one of 900+ subscription-based companies using Baremetrics to understand key metrics and accelerate growth.

Payment Services 105

Payment Services Payment Solutions Payments SaaS Payments 105

Clouded Judgement

AUGUST 2, 2024

Cloud Giants Report Q2 We also got the Q2 quarters from AWS / Azure / GCP this week! Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

Cloud 157

Cloud Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AWS 157

Clouded Judgement

AUGUST 4, 2023

You can see more detail about their net new ARR added each quarter below Azure Growth came in at 27%, and guided to 25-26% growth for Q3. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Cost optimization & reporting 130

Clouded Judgement

SEPTEMBER 27, 2024

Microsoft launched Azure in 2010, and Google launched GCP to the public in 2011 (they launched a preview of Google App Engine in 2008, but made it publicly available in 2011). Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 176

Cloud GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AWS Azure 176

Clouded Judgement

MAY 10, 2024

All 3 (AWS, Azure, GCP) saw positive reacceleration Quarterly Reports Summary Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months.

Cloud 167

Cloud Software GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Azure 167

Clouded Judgement

JULY 28, 2023

AI = Data + Compute I’ll continue beating this drum, but we got two great quotes from Azure and AWS this week. This week we had two of the hypserscalers report (Microsoft / Azure and Google / GCP), and everyone was eager to see their results. Lots to unpack, I’ll hit on a couple of my favorite topics from this week below.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 130

Clouded Judgement

JUNE 9, 2023

Usage on Snowflake is driven by queries run on Snowflake Azure: Neutral Tone With Strength in AI Overall I’d characterize Azure’s quarter as a net positive. They guided to 26-27% growth in Azure in Q2 (with 1% coming from AI). Their consumption is driven by usage of applications built on top of Mongo.

Trends 130

Trends Cloud Azure AWS 130

Clouded Judgement

APRIL 21, 2023

Next week we get all 3 hyperscalers reporting (AWS from Amazon, Azure from Microsoft, and GCP from Google). Let’s double click on Azure. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). The Q4 ‘22 growth rate was 38% YoY.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 130

Clouded Judgement

MAY 31, 2024

This can lead to an airpocket of valuation as companies transition to a different primary valuation metric Outside of the hypserscalers (Azure, AWS, GCP) who have uniquely benefited from AI revenue (mainly selling compute), everyone else has largely struggled. Coming in to Q1 there was broader optimism. Q4’s were generally good!

Cloud 184

Cloud Software GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AI 184

Clouded Judgement

NOVEMBER 10, 2023

Hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP as companies look for cloud GPUs who aren’t building out their own data centers) Infra (Data layer, orchestration, monitoring, ops, etc) Durable Applications We’ve clearly well underway of the first 3 layers monetizing. Model providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc as companies start building out AI).

Cloud 190

Cloud Artificial Intelligence GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AI 190

User Pilot

APRIL 30, 2024

Quickbooks and Xero are accounting SaaS products that help you send invoices, track expenses, and process payroll. Software as a Service (SaaS): SaaS providers have ready-to-use software applications over the internet on a subscription basis. Online invoicing : Manage and track invoices to maintain cash flow with ease.

SaaS Payments 104

SaaS Payments Payment Methods Payment Services Payment Solutions 104

Clouded Judgement

AUGUST 11, 2023

If next quarter we get similar commentary that Azure gave us this quarter (“still a couple quarters away” without any specific guidance), then we may see market loose a little patience. The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are seeing some uptick, but this is largely from selling compute (ie cloud GPUs).

Cloud 130

Cloud Trends Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 130

Clouded Judgement

MAY 26, 2023

Azure / Confluent / Datadog reported a few weeks back (they all had March quarter ends), and their commentary suggested the worst was behind us. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 144

Cloud Azure Trends Forecasting 144

User Pilot

MARCH 12, 2024

Managing user accounts and access improves employee productivity, boosts security, and fosters collaboration. It also enables companies to track and manage SaaS subscriptions. For example, they may automate user provisioning, de-provisioning, or subscription management, making for a cheaper, more efficient system.

Management 105

Management Azure SaaS Systems Review 105

Clouded Judgement

MARCH 22, 2024

.” Let’s look at consumption revenue - this is also not technically recurring! It’s probably better described as re-occurring vs recurring. This is why the consumption players (Snowflake, Mongo, Confluent, Azure, AWS, etc) so more variability in the macro slowdown.

AI 190

AI Cloud Revenue Technical Advisors 190

Neil Patel

JANUARY 25, 2021

Power BI can integrate with Azure Machine Learning—plus, its ML and AI features are driven by Azure functions built into the Azure Cloud. Sprinkle offers three subscription plans: Essentials, Professional, and Enterprise. Its image analytics feature can also be useful to make better business decisions.

Data Analysis 128

Data Analysis Software Data Scale 128

ProfitWell

MAY 15, 2020

Some PaaS examples include Windows Azure, Google App Engine, and Force.com. Since SaaS is typically subscription-based (aka, no licensing fees) there are lower costs upfront. However, the subscription model is flexible. Before purchasing a software subscription, research the capabilities you need and ensure they are present.

SaaS Payments 75

SaaS Payments Payment Services Payment Solutions Payments 75

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 3, 2023

In the short term, enjoy the ride as the chase continues 😊 Kind of related to all of this - we now have seen the Q4’s from AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). Lots of deceleration in growth.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Generative AI 130

SaaStr

JUNE 26, 2024

It Takes Time To Bounce Back Jason was the first investor in RevenueCat , a company that automates mobile subscriptions on your phone. 30% of all mobile apps with a paid subscription use RevenueCat to manage it. You can see the growth on the platform side with Azure, Google, and AWS and how much it’s accelerating in AI.

CTO Hire 144

CTO Hire AI Venture Capital Sales Hiring 144

Clouded Judgement

JUNE 20, 2023

On the Microsoft earnings call they said (related to Azure): “But at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further. To calculate implied ARR I take the subscription revenue in a quarter and multiply it by 4. My interpretation is we’re in the bottoming phase.

Cloud 167

Cloud Software Benchmarks Scale 167

Clouded Judgement

NOVEMBER 3, 2023

Maybe with the exception of hyperscalers (particularly Azure). Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA. And the median guide is 0.4%

Software Review 167

Software Review Cloud Software Azure 167

IT World

APRIL 26, 2023

Server products and cloud services both saw revenue growth of 17%, with Azure revenue up 27%, while Office commercial products and cloud services revenue also grew by 13% this quarter. Three months after launching its new Basic subscription tier , the company reported that its Microsoft 365 consumer subscription numbers have now topped 65.4

Cloud 75

Cloud Azure Payment Features Subscription 75

OpenView Labs

FEBRUARY 9, 2021

But growing with a usage-model is not as straightforward as traditional subscription SaaS. Though it was pioneered in the infrastructure layer (think: AWS and Azure), it’s becoming increasingly popular for API-based products and application software. Consumption-based revenue isn’t as predictable as subscription-based revenue.

Scale 98

Scale Pricing Scaling AWS 98

OPEXEngine

DECEMBER 7, 2021

The pricing model, which leads to increases or decreases in revenue based on how much customers engage with a service, has been gaining on the more traditional subscription model as the main way SaaS companies make money. It has tended to be used most in infrastructure platforms, like AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure. Enterprise companies.

Payment Features 52

Payment Features Subscription Pricing Venture Capital 52

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 17, 2023

As you can tell, there’s a BIG drop-off projected in 2023 Like Azure, they called for a big slowdown of consumption trends in the month of December. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure Subscription Payment Features 130