Tom Tunguz

FEBRUARY 2, 2023

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. Overall, given the trends we’re seeing, I expect cloud growth rates to fall into the 18-22% range for 2023, about of the growth rate of a year ago.

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 304

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Cloud AWS Sales Hiring 304

Clouded Judgement

MAY 3, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Results Q1 earnings seasons has officially kicked off! We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Follow along to stay up to date!

Cost optimization & reporting 190

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Software Azure 190

SaaStr

DECEMBER 26, 2022

Amanda Malko is CMO at G2, a software marketplace and review site that reaches over 60 million buyers annually across 2000 software categories. In this session, she shares insights and trends from research conducted this year that can help software buyers and sellers make smarter decisions about software and the market. .

Software Review 245

Software Review Software Azure Cloud 245

Tom Tunguz

MARCH 1, 2025

In second place, Microsoft’s AI business, including Azure, is at a $3.25b Q4 revenue. Clearly, IBM’s role as the third largest generator of AI revenue is a combination of consulting and software revenue. IBM reported $2b, which was a big surprise to me. Just how large is the GPU business relative to others?

AI 236

AI Revenue Azure Consulting 236

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 7, 2025

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. The unlock here of “group + triage + agent” will be the backbone for the next wave of software. They each have some of the largest cloud businesses in the world in AWS, Azure and Google Cloud respectively.

Systems Review 144

Systems Review Cloud AI Artificial Intelligence 144

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 11, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. For software companies, this phenomenon can be a tailwind, as it drives accelerated deal closures and increased sales velocity, sometimes with less price sensitivity from buyers looking to quickly deplete their budgets. Cloudflare is up 17%.

Cloud 167

Cloud Cost optimization & reporting GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Software Review 167

Tom Tunguz

JULY 25, 2023

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early trends in the software market to inform startups’ plans for 2023. Both Google & Microsoft announced growth rates in GCP & Azure that held steady from one quarter to the next. Yesterday, Microsoft & Google announced earnings. The desire for AI is broad.

Azure 238

Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AI Cloud 238

Tom Tunguz

JULY 19, 2021

One of the most exciting trends in data, during this Decade of Data, is the evolution of the open ecosystem. Amazon’s S3 stores and Azure’s data stores provide the infrastructure for teams to maintain and control data. Amazon S3 GM Kevin Miller and Microsoft VP PM of Azure Storage will share the future of cloud storage.

Data 226

Data Azure Cloud Trends 226

Clouded Judgement

MAY 31, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Software Sentiment Software sentiment is incredibly low at the moment - and rightfully so. Nearly 70% of software companies who reported Q1 with an April quarter end guided Q2 below consensus!

Cloud 184

Cloud Software GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AI 184

Clouded Judgement

APRIL 11, 2024

Is Software Rebounding? It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. I’m calculating FCF by taking the Operating Cash Flow and subtracting CapEx and Capitalized Software Costs.

Cloud 184

Cloud Software Azure AWS 184

SaaStr

MAY 30, 2024

With a PLG-heavy background, first working at Microsoft Azure and again with Atlassian, the PLG pioneers, he gives insights into leveraging PLG for the growth of your organization. Let’s start with a sales-led motion, which is traditionally how B2B software has been sold. Atlassian, Microsoft Azure, and Zoom are good examples of that.

Scale 293

Scale AI Search Azure Sales 293

Clouded Judgement

JUNE 9, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Consumption Trends We’re now through earning season. Let’s take a look back at the 6 main consumption players in software and how they preformed. Follow along to stay up to date! Overall similar to Datadog.

Trends 130

Trends Cloud Azure AWS 130

Clouded Judgement

MAY 10, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Q1 Software Earnings Are… Not Good We’re about halfway through Q1 earnings season, and it’s not been pretty. Follow along to stay up to date! Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

Cloud 167

Cloud Software GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Azure 167

Clouded Judgement

AUGUST 11, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. While it is too early to call an end to cloud optimization and a significant level of macro uncertainty remains, these new trends, along with the tenor of our customer interactions are encouraging.” Follow along to stay up to date!

Cloud 130

Cloud Trends Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 130

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 27, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. You can see some quotes from Azure / AWS in my Q2 recap , and pasted below. I believe one of the bigger reasons software has held up despite the run up in the 10Y to 5% is the expectation for re-acceleration (ie numbers / forecasts going up).

Cost optimization & reporting 157

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Azure AWS 157

Tom Tunguz

NOVEMBER 28, 2023

Snowflake announced earnings yesterday, echoing the strength within software companies more broadly & underscoring the shift in enterprise buyer behavior to normal after three quarters of extensive cost cuts. Consumption continued to grow in the month of October…Consumption trends have improved.”

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 180

GCP(Google Cloud Platform) Azure Data Startup 180

Tom Tunguz

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early trends in the software market to inform startups’ plans for 2023. But it may also suggest that many resellers with large sales teams looking to sustain their transactional businesses are able to drive additional software bookings.

Cloud 235

Cloud Azure Headcount Software Review 235

Neil Patel

JANUARY 25, 2021

Everyone has questions when it comes to choosing data analysis software. Luckily, data analysis software can seriously simplify data analysis—provided you choose the right one. How to Choose the Best Data Analysis Software for You. Data analysis software isn’t a cheap investment, so use caution when making a selection.

Data Analysis 128

Data Analysis Software Data Scale 128

SaaStr

MARCH 17, 2023

Buying software has changed significantly over the past 27 years. His first software-buying journey at age 24 involved researching in magazines, calling companies, and receiving demo CDs in the mail. What did software buying look like in the ‘90s? Software was physically shipped to you after purchase.

Marketplace as a Service 246

Marketplace as a Service Software Review Technical Review Azure 246

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 2, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. ” Microsoft on Azure : “And I think last quarter, we said one, we are going to continue to have these cycles where people will build new workloads. Follow along to stay up to date!

Cost optimization & reporting 167

Cost optimization & reporting Cloud Azure AWS 167

Clouded Judgement

NOVEMBER 3, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Some of these drops rival one of the worst ever software earnings reaction of Tableau in 2016! On Thursday the software index (WCLD) was up ~3%! So what’s holding up software stocks valuations?? Atlassian was down ~10%.

Software Review 167

Software Review Cloud Software Azure 167

Clouded Judgement

APRIL 28, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. AWS (Amazon), Azure (Microsoft), and Google Cloud (Google) all reported this week. It’s pretty well understood that consumption trends will bottom and reverse prior to seat based purchasing. Follow along to stay up to date!

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS AI Search 130

SaaStr

MARCH 31, 2019

Microsoft Azure sales grew at 76% year over year in its most recent quarter. Developers’ lives matter’ – Chinese software engineers use Github to protest against the country’s 996 work schedule. Wow, trending #1 on Github. Buy Microsoft Stock Because of Its Big Cloud Deals, Says JPMorgan. The Next CEO of Stack Overflow.

Cloud 141

Cloud Azure Scale Software Engineering 141

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 20, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Hyperscaler Preview Next week Amazon, Microsoft and Google report earnings and we’ll see Q3 data for AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. Follow along to stay up to date! Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

Cloud 167

Cloud Azure AWS Software Review 167

Clouded Judgement

JANUARY 6, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Cloud Downgrades This week UBS came out with a couple research reports citing concerns in AWS / Azure growth. We know software is impacted from macro - but how bad will it get? This brings me back to AWS / Azure downgrades.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Underperforming Technical Team 130

Clouded Judgement

AUGUST 2, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Back then the median software NTM rev multiple was ~6x. Then there’s software specific data points. Then there’s the broader software universe. Follow along to stay up to date! Today it’s ~5x.

Cloud 157

Cloud Azure GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AWS 157

Clouded Judgement

OCTOBER 28, 2022

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Hyperscalers Report Quarterly Earnings This week we saw AWS (Amazon), GCP (Google) and Azure (Microsoft) report earnings. At the same time, Azure came in below expectations. Follow along to stay up to date!

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Cost optimization & reporting 130

Clouded Judgement

NOVEMBER 10, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now OpenAI Updates OpenAI had their big developer day this week, and I wanted to call out two key announcements (and trends): increasing context windows and decreasing costs. Datadog Gives Software the All Clear?

Cloud 190

Cloud Artificial Intelligence GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AI 190

Clouded Judgement

AUGUST 4, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. But what I would add is that we saw Q2 trends continue into July.” And most importantly, they’ve seen these positive trends continue. Follow along to stay up to date! So those balanced out in Q2.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Cost optimization & reporting 130

Clouded Judgement

JANUARY 27, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Azure (Microsoft) Quarter The week the first of the cloud giants reported - Azure. Early Look at 2023 Guides Given the Azure weakness reported on Tuesday, all software tumbled Wednesday morning with most names down 5-10%.

Cloud 144

Cloud Azure Pricing Subscription 144

Clouded Judgement

SEPTEMBER 27, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Microsoft launched Azure in 2010, and Google launched GCP to the public in 2011 (they launched a preview of Google App Engine in 2008, but made it publicly available in 2011). Follow along to stay up to date!

Cloud 176

Cloud GCP(Google Cloud Platform) AWS Azure 176

Clouded Judgement

APRIL 21, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Next week we get all 3 hyperscalers reporting (AWS from Amazon, Azure from Microsoft, and GCP from Google). If we look at the trends in their most recent quarters YoY growth rates (below) you’ll see the deceleration has been meaningful.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 130

Clouded Judgement

JULY 28, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. AI = Data + Compute I’ll continue beating this drum, but we got two great quotes from Azure and AWS this week. This could be a trend of improving buyer dynamics? Follow along to stay up to date! Subscribe now Busy week!

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS GCP(Google Cloud Platform) 130

Clouded Judgement

MAY 26, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Early Look at May Consumption Trends This week kicked of Q1 earnings reports for companies with April quarter ends. This means we got commentary for the first time on May trends. Follow along to stay up to date! What did we learn?

Cloud 144

Cloud Azure Trends Forecasting 144

Clouded Judgement

MARCH 22, 2024

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Enterprise software businesses strive for 90-95% gross retention (generally the percent of revenue that sticks with you vs churns altogether), with net expansion in the 120%+ range (the aggregate change in expansion - contraction - churned revenue).

AI 190

AI Cloud Revenue Technical Advisors 190

Clouded Judgement

FEBRUARY 3, 2023

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Then we had the Fed meeting this week creating a huge move in the software market. This was part of the big move in software on Wednesday / Thursday? Not much software was owned. Follow along to stay up to date! Market Offsides.

Cloud 130

Cloud Azure AWS Generative AI 130

Andreessen Horowitz

MARCH 21, 2024

Leaders are starting to reallocate AI investments to recurring software budget lines. In 2024, however, many leaders are reallocating that spend to more permanent software line items; fewer than a quarter reported that genAI spend will come from innovation budgets this year. A multi-model future.

Generative AI 145

Generative AI Enterprise AI Artificial Intelligence 145