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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. So far in the first month of the year, AWS year-over-year revenue growth is in the mid-teens. So far in the first month of the year, AWS year-over-year revenue growth is in the mid-teens. Google: [We] are pushing Google Cloud to Profitability.

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Clouded Judgement 10.11.24 - Budget Flush

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. As a result, software vendors often see an uptick in revenue and bookings during these periods. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework. Follow along to stay up to date! Subscribe now Budget Flush Coming? Cloudflare is up 17%.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q1 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. The charts below show the change in quarterly revenue YoY (so Q1 ‘24 rev - Q1 ‘23 rev) going back to 2017. These charts clearly show the ZIRP pull forward, the ensuing cloud cost optimizations, and then the recovery.

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The Health of Cloud Spending in Mid-2022

Tom Tunguz

Google Cloud Platform. That suggests the cloud market is quite strong. Google’s growth rate fell to 35%, a 29% decline from the trailing 4 quarter average of 49% annual revenue growth. GCP’s data point is less rosy. Microsoft Azure. Amazon Web Services. Good news & bad news.

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Grey Skies in Cloud Earnings

Tom Tunguz

Google Cloud Platform. Infrastructure revenue growth averaged 33% this quarter, which is astounding considering we’re talking about businesses that sum to more than $50b of revenue per quarter. At a 7x multiple of revenue, that is another $84b of market cap creation, in theory. Microsoft Azure.

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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Results Q1 earnings seasons has officially kicked off! We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

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Thanks to Bee, ChartMogul, Maast, SecureFrame, and StratusGreen for Sponsoring SaaStr Annual 2023!

SaaStr

Our mission is to build powerful and secure cloud software for subscription businesses of all sizes, with a strong emphasis on good design and ease of use. Maast offers payments, banking, lending and more as features in software provider’s platforms – with one relationship, contract and integration.

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