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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

GCP data is a bit more noisy as they don’t disclose GCP itself, but rather Google Cloud which includes GSuite. To calculate implied ARR I take the subscription revenue in a quarter and multiply it by 4. This is for information purposes and should not be construed as an investment recommendation.

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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

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Clouded Judgement 9.27.24 - The Foundation of Foundation Models

Clouded Judgement

Microsoft launched Azure in 2010, and Google launched GCP to the public in 2011 (they launched a preview of Google App Engine in 2008, but made it publicly available in 2011). Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

All 3 (AWS, Azure, GCP) saw positive reacceleration Quarterly Reports Summary Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months. Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Clouded Judgement 5.31.24 - Software Sentiment Crumbles

Clouded Judgement

This can lead to an airpocket of valuation as companies transition to a different primary valuation metric Outside of the hypserscalers (Azure, AWS, GCP) who have uniquely benefited from AI revenue (mainly selling compute), everyone else has largely struggled. But these investments aren’t cheap. Q4’s were generally good!

Cloud 180
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Clouded Judgement 8.2.24 - Uncertainty Everywhere

Clouded Judgement

Cloud Giants Report Q2 We also got the Q2 quarters from AWS / Azure / GCP this week! Our expectation, obviously again, is that we are going to significantly increase our investments in AI infrastructure next year, and we'll give further guidance as appropriate.” Altimeter is an investment adviser registered with the U.S.

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