Remove 2010 Remove Payment Features Remove Retention
article thumbnail

We?re About To See a Lot More SaaS Debt

SaaStr

It’s hard to imagine a world where analysis didn’t understand recurring, subscription based revenue for technology products. The company is the poster child for subscription-based software, a model that’s gaining popularity among corporate buyers. 110% net revenue retention? Churn under 10% annually? Rule of 40?

article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 10.20.23 - Hyperscaler Q3 Preview

Clouded Judgement

For context on a 10Y at 5% - from 2010 to 2020 the 10Y averaged roughly ~2.5%. Said another way, the 10Y today is double what it averaged from 2010 to 2020. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 167
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 9.29.23 - Rates Keep Going Up

Clouded Judgement

As a reminder - the average software multiple from 2010-2020 was ~7.8x, and the average 10Y over that same period was ~2.3%. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). The current median multiple is ~5.7x. So what’s going on?

Cloud 190
article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 12.21.23

Clouded Judgement

The median projected growth rate today is 14% The piece left out of the analysis is interest rates, which are obviously higher today than the period of 2010 to 2020. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 184
article thumbnail

The key to fierce customer loyalty? Your support team.

Intercom, Inc.

The rise of the subscription model challenges businesses to place equal emphasis on conversion and retention , or risk spending themselves into oblivion. In 2010, leading management thinker Roger Martin declared we’re entering the age of “customer capitalism.” Over the last 10 years, this thinking has come undone.

Scale 237
article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 9.27.24 - The Foundation of Foundation Models

Clouded Judgement

Microsoft launched Azure in 2010, and Google launched GCP to the public in 2011 (they launched a preview of Google App Engine in 2008, but made it publicly available in 2011). Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 176
article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 1.13.23

Clouded Judgement

As a reminder - from 2010 - 2020 the average 10Y rate was ~2.3%. That was more broadly a period of ZIRP, and it’s interesting that today the 10Y isn’t hugely different from where it was in the period of 2010 - 2020 Morgan Stanley CIO Survey Everyone is eagerly awaiting 2023 forecasts to be “de-risked.”

Cloud 130