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What Could the Venture Market Look Like in the Coronavirus Era

Tom Tunguz

The market bounced back to similar levels once in Q2 2010, but needed eight quarters to return to its previous volumes. Let’s break down the trends by series. The Series B market had a nice resurgence as well, followed by a retrenchment in late 2010 and then another surge. in the quarters following the crash.

Marketing 359
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The Software Startup Sectors Raising the Most Capital in 2017

Tom Tunguz

In 2010, classic SaaS was booming, the benefits of a subscription model were finally becoming clear to the public markets and the mass-market. The chart above breaks out 14 different software categories and shows the amount of dollars invested in each category indexed to 2010 levels.

Startup 255
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Is Compensation Stagnation to Blame for the Great Resignation?

Tom Tunguz

Let’s compare data from 2010 and 2021 to understand the longitudinal trends in cash and equity compensation. A VP of Engineering in a Bay Area startup that has raised less than twenty-five million dollars earned 33% more in 2021 than 2010. 2010 Equity. Cash Change. A nice bump. 2021 Equity. Equity Change.

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Do SaaS Startups Still Require Less Capital than 10 Years Ago?

Tom Tunguz

In 2010, one venture dollar bought $1.24 If we look at the ROIC across IPOs across the last 12 years or so, we see that same initial dynamic of incredibly efficient companies in the 2010 and 2014 IPO cohorts. It’s tripled from about $92m to more than $300M since 2010. One venture dollar bought forty-two cents at IPO.

Startup 279
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The Radically Different Early Stage Fundraising Market

Tom Tunguz

The top left chart shows a $1M round had about 41% market share in 2010; that grew to about 54% in 2014; now it has fallen to 35%. But is now at the same level it was in 2010. In 2010, it was very likely that a business raised a $1M round before raising a $3-5M dollar round. The $3M round has suffered a similar loss of share.

Marketing 247
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How Much Revenue Must a Company Generate to IPO?

Tom Tunguz

We gathered data on the US venture-backed software companies that went public between 2010 & today. which will further underscore the trend. What does it take to go public? Has it changed over the last 15 years? We corrected the trailing 12 months’ revenue at the time of IPO for inflation & plotted the data.

Revenue 308
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Mean Reversion: When Will Startup Investing Return to Normal?

Tom Tunguz

The red is a linear model based on data from 2010 to 2018 that predicts activity rates for each financing series of US & Canadian software companies. [1] By looking at the cumulative rounds since 2010, we can see that Seed, A, & B volumes all trended meaningfully above their predicted counts. But the gap is narrowing.