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The Mirage in the Software Clouds

Tom Tunguz

The top quartile companies are growing at slower rates today than the bottom quartile companies in 2016. It’s not to say software spending is slowing (it’s not), or that there aren’t fast-growing businesses (they thrive in the private markets). The median has never been lower in the last ten years.

Software 173
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Massive Acquisitions in Software Startups

Tom Tunguz

In the last decade, the total number of venture backed software M&A by count has remained relatively constant. Nevertheless, there are huge differences between the total value created by software M&A annually. In 2014, 2016, 2020, 2021, these big mergers drove the figures into the tens of billions. X 2021 43.8%

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Is the Software Market in Trouble?

Tom Tunguz

Last week, public software markets suffered significant compression. In 2016, valuations fell 57%. Future revenue ramps have been the dominant driver of software valuations for the vast majority of the last decade. Looking at the changes in software revenue, we see that the market is on a straight line to surge past $100b.

Software 316
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How Correlated are the Web 2 and Web 3 Software Markets?

Tom Tunguz

In the last few weeks, public software company multiples have halved. Beyond the most recent cycle, how often do the web2 and web3 software markets move in synchrony? Beyond the most recent cycle, how often do the web2 and web3 software markets move in synchrony? The cryptocoins appreciated much more than software.

Software 334
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Are Software Companies Good Businesses?

Tom Tunguz

In “Do software companies actually have good margins?”, ”, Benn Stancil makes a case for a counterintuitive point : Software companies are much less profitable than they might seem. Because the research & development costs associated with software should be part of their cost of goods sold.

Software 296
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The Software Startup Sectors Raising the Most Capital in 2017

Tom Tunguz

Over the last seven years, software startup investing has changed quite a bit. Since then, many other types of software businesses have been created in new categories like agriculture technology and robotics. In other words, if machine learning startups raised the same amount of money in 2016 is 2010, the chart would show a value of 1.

Startup 255
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How Will the 52% Correction in the Stock Market Impact the Startup Fundraising Market?

Tom Tunguz

The public software sector is weathering the second deepest multiple contraction in the last decade. Only the 2016 reduction of 57% surpasses it. The question on every software founder’s mind today must be, how will this affect the private financing markets? These are marked in peachpuff orange rectangles above.

Marketing 362